Chop and INTC

January 16th, 2008 by eyal | Filed under Day Trading. | Print This Post Print This Post

The drawdown continues today. Partly due to some more mistakes and partly due to choppy market conditions. I shorted INTC, one of the stocks not on my shortlisted candidates. I scratched it and then re-entered but it didn’t work and I was stopped for -0.8R. Had I gone with my original list I would have come out with an R or 2 in the positive.

I think I know what the problem is though. After realizing something was wrong yesterday I paid more attention today to not just the information in front of me but also to how I was approaching things. I was trying to compare it to previous periods of time. I think what the problem is is that I over-analyze trades now and try to get a perfect trade going while in the process missing out on good ones and focusing on wrong aspects of candidate selection. I keep a record of my start of day candidates so I can go back and look at them, the mistakes over the last few days were mostly marginal but yet had a strong impact. In the past, during the best times I would just fire away several trades on a number of half-decent candidates and then manage those trades from there. These days I tend to focus on just 1 or 2 stocks and that involves high risk of picking the wrong ones. I suspect part of the problem is the fact that my R size is at an all time high since November (yes, it’s not nice having a drawdown with a relatively large R) and that may be contributing to the change in style.

It seems like every few months or so I get myself into this sort of situation, it happened around April and (kind of) around September last year. Just to put things in perspective the current drawdown is -7.22R, not that significant from a statistical point of view. What I intend to do is reduce my R size a bit again and try to get back into the same trading mode I was in before the end of last year. And if that fails.. well, I’m going to make sure it doesn’t.

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2 Responses to “Chop and INTC”

  1. Carlton | 17/01/08

    If that fails, well, you can always make money selling som-tam on the streets :-)

  2. eyal | 17/01/08

    Selling SomTam? No way.. too much work, maybe fried meatballs is better :-)

    I’m sure it’s just a temporary drawdown, sometimes I lose sight of perspective, losing 7Rs isn’t nice but I used to have -4R in one single day just half a year ago so so far it’s just a small blip. I’m also working on another, different, automated system to add and diversify my risk a bit.

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